Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.957565 1.115488 1.285274 1.480689 1.698673 1.933639 2.205327
2025-07-27 0.709110 0.932164 1.194176 1.521133 1.914468 2.368631 2.928648
2025-08-03 0.516321 0.762359 1.076351 1.497616 2.038441 2.699559 3.557956
2025-08-10 0.396083 0.651570 1.003071 1.505401 2.186552 3.058885 4.238953
2025-08-17 0.296543 0.543720 0.909753 1.464989 2.256520 3.313149 4.794562
2025-08-24 0.236087 0.478421 0.861854 1.474467 2.385588 3.644323 5.461072
2025-08-31 0.186964 0.418893 0.810475 1.467742 2.484434 3.933508 6.079969
2025-09-07 0.159268 0.389781 0.801308 1.521145 2.670978 4.351421 6.892362
2025-09-14 0.133921 0.358581 0.782598 1.554618 2.826154 4.728716 7.660978
2025-09-21 0.105758 0.313925 0.732072 1.527455 2.881096 4.957372 8.221653
2025-09-28 0.089774 0.291415 0.718409 1.560524 3.032286 5.334968 9.012626
2025-10-05 0.076140 0.270505 0.704107 1.589621 3.176767 5.706604 9.806596
2025-10-12 0.063947 0.250267 0.689241 1.618340 3.326479 6.100093 10.660545
2025-10-19 0.052277 0.227584 0.665518 1.627794 3.443901 6.449020 11.462699
2025-10-26 0.039928 0.197754 0.620123 1.588896 3.471995 6.654008 12.048731
2025-11-02 0.032107 0.178950 0.596684 1.591056 3.572952 6.981373 12.837605
2025-11-09 0.023941 0.154424 0.553758 1.546353 3.582293 7.154073 13.383573
2025-11-16 0.019307 0.141054 0.536778 1.555176 3.691923 7.499299 14.217169
2025-11-23 0.015089 0.126718 0.513943 1.547712 3.768433 7.789279 14.968394
2025-11-30 0.013129 0.122148 0.518257 1.603176 3.971932 8.307946 16.112326
2025-12-07 0.011009 0.115246 0.514154 1.637968 4.135378 8.761177 17.159425
2025-12-14 0.008181 0.101544 0.485545 1.609630 4.167548 8.980359 17.818490
2025-12-21 0.006815 0.096014 0.482345 1.644068 4.331354 9.442319 18.901381